Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 15.453905 17.486458 19.759692 22.504451 25.747167 29.478892 34.131114
2025-09-21 12.114583 14.549185 17.488367 21.342669 26.330687 32.662139 41.461608
2025-09-28 10.362389 12.940206 16.214454 20.757552 27.026966 35.574072 48.472029
2025-10-05 10.259407 13.311032 17.387220 23.376353 32.212238 45.215123 66.711178
2025-10-12 9.624100 12.854986 17.340703 24.234129 34.963915 51.780270 81.827716
2025-10-19 8.671587 11.834073 16.353033 23.537390 35.191202 54.383847 90.903513
2025-10-26 8.259210 11.530843 16.351684 24.303082 37.800766 61.302875 109.388100
2025-11-02 7.647818 10.867392 15.726689 23.977998 38.505400 64.980104 122.552908
2025-11-09 7.097605 10.244060 15.095278 23.550857 38.940658 68.195229 135.594964
2025-11-16 6.647985 9.736524 14.595095 23.276806 39.592463 71.915279 150.819216
2025-11-23 6.179452 9.161499 13.932240 22.638338 39.454367 73.985043 162.715395
2025-11-30 5.846981 8.779643 13.554867 22.465015 40.185973 78.015457 180.893199
2025-12-07 5.377363 8.156417 12.745529 21.462537 39.215330 78.340922 189.922032
2025-12-14 4.937514 7.555877 11.933415 20.381009 37.953449 77.814006 196.569885
2025-12-21 4.624883 7.147969 11.425184 19.827983 37.734542 79.726035 211.421931
2025-12-28 4.790010 7.562425 12.405289 22.297761 44.537295 100.759547 299.553303
2026-01-04 4.699598 7.523877 12.555804 23.105764 47.701059 113.215116 365.867767
2026-01-11 4.426005 7.141969 12.035519 22.449485 47.243510 115.346704 392.106696
2026-01-18 4.343776 7.098492 12.152328 23.170697 50.323285 128.815727 477.678282
2026-01-25 4.146343 6.832133 11.818302 22.864541 50.720461 134.092649 528.604789
2026-02-01 3.952664 6.561672 11.457429 22.462173 50.805298 138.412359 578.359320
2026-02-08 3.788266 6.336781 11.171776 22.203956 51.247520 144.112527 641.292805
2026-02-15 3.599199 6.055572 10.755034 21.602199 50.647767 146.016594 683.453998